The U.S. government shutdown could stifle deal flow, freeze visa processing for workers, and cause other problems for startups and the broader tech sector, especially if it lasts longer than a week, according to experts who spoke to TechCrunch.
The U.S. government shutdown, which began Tuesday, is the first one in seven years. The unpredictability of the Trump administration coupled with a politically entrenched Congress makes it hard to predict when the shutdown will end. Out of eight shutdowns since 1990, four have happened during a Trump administration, the last one was for 35 days, the longest in modern history.
TechCrunch spoke to investors, founders, and even lawyers who warned about delayed deal flow and visa processing for workers, which was recently upended by a recent change by President Trump who announced the application fee for an H-1B visa would increase to $100,000 — a number that caused sticker shock within the industry.
The main concern is a slowed-down immigration process for startups, since the Department of Labor — which offers first approval for H-1B visas and green cards — is shut down. The result, immigration attorney Sophie Alcon said, is that the pipeline for hiring and renewing visas for high-skilled workers is completely frozen.
“This creates significant uncertainty for a startup’s workforce, including founders who may be on visas themselves,” she told TechCrunch.
“Visa workers are hit hard in a shutdown because their status depends on government approvals,” Michael Scarpati, CEO and founder of the fintech RetireUS, added. “When processes like E-verify or labor certifications stop, workers risk falling out of status, leaving their future in the U.S. uncertain and creating added disruption for the businesses that depend on them.”
Thousands of workers in tech are on visas, and have brought with them, in many cases, partners and children.
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“Many are understandably nervous about processing delays and how that affects their ability to stay and work,” Chris Chib, CEO of the strategy solutions company BlueFin Solves, told TechCrunch. “But just as these engineers help us persevere through complex challenges with ML algorithms and innovation, we owe them the same careful attention and commitment during this situation.”
Startups may also be affected by delayed or stopped permitting processes and other regulatory requirements, which could dwindle precious funds and even lead to layoffs.
Jenny Fielding, managing partner at Everywhere Ventures, said ongoing political uncertainty always worries her. Though past shutdowns have had little economic impact, this one could lead to layoffs if it lasts too long.
“Since we invest in many regulated areas, the shutdown can potentially halt-slash-slow down essential government functions like FDA approvals or aerospace permits, which can be an existential threat to a startup whose entire business model depends on a single regulatory green light,” Fielding told TechCrunch.
Fielding said the timing of the shutdown has, once again, been terrible for her and the firm. When Everywhere Ventures started fundraising in early spring, President Trump announced the tariffs that caused uncertainty and drove up costs for some companies.
The firm held off on fundraising at the time because limited partners were nervous about investing given the uncertain climate. “And of course, we kicked off fundraising this week, so once again, terrible timing,” she said.
As for Fielding’s startups, she said it’s hard to wait and see in this case. Founders always need to think about a plan B, Fielding said, especially because capital is finite.
“If it’s a week shutdown, then that’s manageable,” she continued. “But when it becomes weeks, then it can get uncomfortable.”
Garima Kapoor co-founded the software company MinIO with her husband, AB, who came to the U.S. on an H-1B visa a little over a decade ago. She said startups should start preparing now, just in case the government shutdown is prolonged.
“When government agencies slow down, deals in high, highly regulated industries like fintech, health tech, or M&A can grind to a halt. Even companies operating outside the federal sphere could face shrinking valuations and tougher deal terms as more uncertainty seeps into the market,” she told TechCrunch.
Overall, founders should remain proactive, communicate transparently with partners and investors, and plan “prudently for slippage,” she said, noting that clarity and alignment will be key here.
“Preparedness will separate those who weather the disruption from those who get caught flat-footed.”
Chib added to that. “Their resilience is part of what drives progress forward,” he said. ”To those facing these challenges, know, this too shall pass. Persevere.”
